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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.28+0.73vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.20+2.42vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.49-0.51vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.26+0.32vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76+2.94vs Predicted
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6Duke University-0.90+0.39vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-1.64+0.69vs Predicted
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8The Citadel-0.75-1.94vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-0.58-3.29vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina-2.68-0.69vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-3.67-0.34vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-4.37-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.73College of Charleston2.280.5%1st Place
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4.42The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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2.49College of Charleston1.490.3%1st Place
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4.32Clemson University0.260.1%1st Place
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7.94University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
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6.39Duke University-0.900.0%1st Place
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7.69North Carolina State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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6.06The Citadel-0.750.0%1st Place
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5.71Clemson University-0.580.0%1st Place
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9.31University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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10.66Georgia Institute of Technology-3.670.0%1st Place
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11.28University of North Carolina-4.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Garcia | 52.6% | 29.9% | 11.6% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 4.9% | 11.3% | 18.7% | 18.1% | 18.0% | 15.2% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Allen | 25.7% | 30.8% | 23.0% | 13.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 6.3% | 11.1% | 17.4% | 20.7% | 18.4% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 24.5% | 18.6% | 5.7% | 0.8% |
| Zohar Almani | 2.5% | 2.8% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 18.8% | 17.4% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Liam Holder | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 18.5% | 21.7% | 15.0% | 6.0% | 0.7% |
| Camden Hom | 2.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 9.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Bialek | 3.1% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 17.0% | 18.5% | 16.1% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 33.1% | 22.8% | 5.4% |
| John Kelly | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 14.8% | 41.6% | 30.1% |
| Andrew Shaz | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 7.3% | 22.1% | 62.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.