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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.49+1.53vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.28-0.29vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.20+1.41vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.26+0.28vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.58+0.82vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-1.64+1.74vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-0.75-0.98vs Predicted
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8Duke University-0.90-1.67vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76-1.13vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina-2.68-0.67vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-3.67-0.34vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-4.37-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53College of Charleston1.490.2%1st Place
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1.71College of Charleston2.280.5%1st Place
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4.41The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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4.28Clemson University0.260.1%1st Place
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5.82Clemson University-0.580.0%1st Place
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7.74North Carolina State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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6.02The Citadel-0.750.0%1st Place
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6.33Duke University-0.900.0%1st Place
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7.87University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
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9.33University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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10.66Georgia Institute of Technology-3.670.0%1st Place
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11.3University of North Carolina-4.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Allen | 23.8% | 32.7% | 23.2% | 11.7% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Garcia | 53.1% | 28.6% | 13.0% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 7.0% | 9.2% | 17.4% | 19.6% | 16.7% | 16.0% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 5.6% | 11.8% | 19.3% | 21.3% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Bialek | 2.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 15.7% | 16.5% | 16.6% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Liam Holder | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 17.7% | 22.3% | 16.4% | 5.1% | 0.5% |
| Camden Hom | 2.7% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 18.7% | 14.7% | 9.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Zohar Almani | 2.2% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 17.9% | 11.6% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 19.2% | 22.7% | 17.2% | 5.3% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 8.1% | 15.2% | 33.6% | 22.7% | 5.7% |
| John Kelly | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 6.2% | 14.5% | 41.4% | 30.5% |
| Andrew Shaz | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 7.7% | 22.6% | 63.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.