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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.28+0.81vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina0.00+3.25vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.49-0.31vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.26+0.74vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.20-0.16vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76+2.74vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-0.75-0.39vs Predicted
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8Duke University-0.90-1.01vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina-2.68+1.15vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-0.58-3.69vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-3.67+0.30vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-1.64-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.81College of Charleston2.280.5%1st Place
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5.25University of North Carolina0.000.0%1st Place
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2.69College of Charleston1.490.2%1st Place
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4.74Clemson University0.260.1%1st Place
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4.84The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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8.74University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
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6.61The Citadel-0.750.0%1st Place
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6.99Duke University-0.900.0%1st Place
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10.15University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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6.31Clemson University-0.580.0%1st Place
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11.3Georgia Institute of Technology-3.670.0%1st Place
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8.56North Carolina State University-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Garcia | 50.0% | 30.0% | 12.3% | 5.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 4.3% | 6.9% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Allen | 24.6% | 27.0% | 22.0% | 14.6% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 5.9% | 9.1% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 16.8% | 16.6% | 10.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 5.7% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 17.5% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 15.8% | 27.2% | 17.3% | 5.0% |
| Camden Hom | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 17.2% | 12.7% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Zohar Almani | 1.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 17.4% | 9.8% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 9.2% | 15.7% | 40.0% | 20.1% |
| Samantha Bialek | 2.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 15.5% | 11.4% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| John Kelly | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 16.3% | 69.7% |
| Liam Holder | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 19.1% | 22.9% | 15.4% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.