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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.28+0.82vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.49+0.70vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina0.00+2.21vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.20+0.82vs Predicted
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5The Citadel-0.75+1.75vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.26-1.31vs Predicted
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7Duke University-0.90-0.06vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-1.64+0.44vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina-2.68+1.16vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76-1.37vs Predicted
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11Clemson University-0.58-4.46vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-3.67-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.82College of Charleston2.280.5%1st Place
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2.7College of Charleston1.490.2%1st Place
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5.21University of North Carolina0.000.1%1st Place
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4.82The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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6.75The Citadel-0.750.0%1st Place
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4.69Clemson University0.260.1%1st Place
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6.94Duke University-0.900.0%1st Place
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8.44North Carolina State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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10.16University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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8.63University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
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6.54Clemson University-0.580.0%1st Place
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11.3Georgia Institute of Technology-3.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Garcia | 50.5% | 29.2% | 12.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Allen | 22.0% | 30.1% | 22.1% | 13.8% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 5.9% | 6.5% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 5.1% | 9.7% | 15.1% | 18.3% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Camden Hom | 2.2% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 17.1% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Rowan Barnes | 6.7% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zohar Almani | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 15.0% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 0.5% |
| Liam Holder | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 17.0% | 22.2% | 15.5% | 4.5% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 16.1% | 39.5% | 20.1% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 17.8% | 24.5% | 16.9% | 4.4% |
| Samantha Bialek | 2.9% | 2.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| John Kelly | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 16.3% | 69.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.