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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.73+0.23vs Predicted
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2University of Connecticut-0.62+2.20vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.58-0.24vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08-0.65vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-0.77-0.57vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-1.36-0.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.23Brown University2.730.8%1st Place
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4.2University of Connecticut-0.620.0%1st Place
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2.76Brown University0.580.1%1st Place
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3.35University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.0%1st Place
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4.43Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
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5.03University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Brock | 80.3% | 16.5% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Treat | 2.1% | 10.2% | 18.8% | 22.4% | 27.9% | 18.6% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 10.3% | 36.8% | 28.5% | 16.6% | 6.2% | 1.6% |
| William Delong | 4.5% | 22.6% | 29.2% | 25.0% | 14.9% | 3.8% |
| Emilia Perriera | 1.7% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 20.3% | 28.7% | 26.3% |
| Devyn Weed | 1.1% | 3.9% | 7.8% | 15.3% | 22.2% | 49.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.