← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University1.31+0.88vs Predicted
-
2University of Connecticut-2.37+3.18vs Predicted
-
3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39+0.52vs Predicted
-
4Brown University0.57-1.46vs Predicted
-
5Brown University0.78-2.53vs Predicted
-
6University of New Hampshire-2.61-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.88Salve Regina University1.310.5%1st Place
-
5.18University of Connecticut-2.370.0%1st Place
-
3.52University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.1%1st Place
-
2.54Brown University0.570.2%1st Place
-
2.47Brown University0.780.2%1st Place
-
5.42University of New Hampshire-2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 45.1% | 30.1% | 17.4% | 6.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 7.6% | 45.3% | 41.1% |
| Marshall Rodes | 9.1% | 10.2% | 17.7% | 47.6% | 13.6% | 1.8% |
| Quinn Brighton | 21.5% | 26.1% | 32.2% | 17.5% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Charles Case | 22.9% | 30.9% | 27.0% | 14.9% | 4.1% | 0.2% |
| Devon Valenta | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 5.5% | 34.0% | 56.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.