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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.33+7.23vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.50+5.68vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.95+3.12vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.16+5.15vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston4.11+0.38vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.56+1.72vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.92-0.81vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+4.00vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.55+2.65vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-1.34vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.03-1.25vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.05-2.44vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.18-3.83vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-5.71vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.55-7.46vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.43-4.07vs Predicted
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17University of Minnesota1.77-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.23Georgetown University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.68Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.12Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.15Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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5.38College of Charleston4.110.1%1st Place
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7.72Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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6.19Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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12.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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11.65University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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8.66St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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9.75Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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9.56Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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9.17Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.54Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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11.93University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
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13.99University of Minnesota1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Eichler | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| William Macdonald | 10.3% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Gram Slattery | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 13.1% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| William Bailey | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 16.2% |
| Steven Pelissier | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 10.4% |
| Ian Liberty | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Ian Towill | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 3.7% |
| Drew Shea | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% |
| John Renehan | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% |
| David Alfonso | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Alex Olt | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 13.1% |
| Natalie Sinn | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 40.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.