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📊 Prediction Accuracy
78.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.61+3.10vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.62+1.98vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.62+1.10vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.86-0.38vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida-0.14+3.70vs Predicted
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6Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64+0.64vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.84-1.17vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College0.48-1.06vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-0.06-0.57vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida0.11-1.91vs Predicted
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11University of Florida-1.42+0.55vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-1.37-0.57vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-0.18-4.31vs Predicted
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14Florida State University-2.39-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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3.98Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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4.1Eckerd College1.620.2%1st Place
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3.62University of South Florida1.860.2%1st Place
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8.7University of South Florida-0.140.0%1st Place
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6.64Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.1%1st Place
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5.83Jacksonville University0.840.1%1st Place
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6.94Eckerd College0.480.1%1st Place
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8.43Embry-Riddle University-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.09University of South Florida0.110.0%1st Place
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11.55University of Florida-1.420.0%1st Place
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11.43Florida Institute of Technology-1.370.0%1st Place
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8.69University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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12.91Florida State University-2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 15.0% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 16.6% | 15.7% | 16.3% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 17.2% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 19.5% | 19.3% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake March | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Dawson Kohl | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Fiona Froelich | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Carter Morin | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Mason Howell | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 1.1% |
| Sara Menesale | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Ava Moring | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 19.2% | 27.9% | 19.3% |
| William Meade | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 11.6% | 21.2% | 27.6% | 16.1% |
| Charlie Eckert | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 1.4% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 8.6% | 19.3% | 58.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.