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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.86+2.52vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.61+1.98vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.62+1.08vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida-0.14+4.62vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.62-0.77vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.84+0.13vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology-1.37+4.22vs Predicted
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8Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64-1.52vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-0.06-0.50vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida0.11-1.90vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-0.18-2.20vs Predicted
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12University of Florida-1.42-0.47vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College0.48-6.11vs Predicted
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14Florida State University-2.39-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52University of South Florida1.860.2%1st Place
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3.98Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
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4.08Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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8.62University of South Florida-0.140.0%1st Place
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4.23Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
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6.13Jacksonville University0.840.1%1st Place
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11.22Florida Institute of Technology-1.370.0%1st Place
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6.48Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.1%1st Place
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8.5Embry-Riddle University-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.1University of South Florida0.110.0%1st Place
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8.8University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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11.53University of Florida-1.420.0%1st Place
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6.89Eckerd College0.480.1%1st Place
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12.91Florida State University-2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kay Brunsvold | 21.1% | 20.9% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 17.2% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 16.6% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake March | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 12.9% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fiona Froelich | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Meade | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 19.0% | 26.9% | 16.2% |
| Dawson Kohl | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Mason Howell | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Sara Menesale | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Charlie Eckert | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 1.8% |
| Ava Moring | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 21.8% | 27.7% | 18.1% |
| Carter Morin | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 7.9% | 19.1% | 59.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.