← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University1.61+3.11vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida0.11+5.83vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University1.62+1.05vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University0.84+2.07vs Predicted
-
5Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64+1.68vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida1.86-2.29vs Predicted
-
7Eckerd College0.48-0.27vs Predicted
-
8Eckerd College1.62-3.92vs Predicted
-
9University of Florida-1.42+2.54vs Predicted
-
10Embry-Riddle University-0.06-1.45vs Predicted
-
11Florida State University-2.39+1.98vs Predicted
-
12University of Central Florida-0.18-3.22vs Predicted
-
13University of South Florida-0.14-4.43vs Predicted
-
14Florida Institute of Technology-1.37-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.11Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
-
7.83University of South Florida0.110.0%1st Place
-
4.05Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
-
6.07Jacksonville University0.840.1%1st Place
-
6.68Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.0%1st Place
-
3.71University of South Florida1.860.2%1st Place
-
6.73Eckerd College0.480.1%1st Place
-
4.08Eckerd College1.620.2%1st Place
-
11.54University of Florida-1.420.0%1st Place
-
8.55Embry-Riddle University-0.060.0%1st Place
-
12.98Florida State University-2.390.0%1st Place
-
8.78University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
-
8.57University of South Florida-0.140.0%1st Place
-
11.32Florida Institute of Technology-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 16.0% | 16.6% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Menesale | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Cole Schweda | 16.6% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fiona Froelich | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Dawson Kohl | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 19.7% | 17.3% | 16.6% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 18.1% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Moring | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 10.0% | 20.3% | 29.8% | 18.7% |
| Mason Howell | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 17.0% | 61.5% |
| Charlie Eckert | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 6.4% | 1.7% |
| Blake March | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 1.1% |
| William Meade | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 17.5% | 30.2% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.