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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.61+3.10vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.62+2.01vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.86+0.57vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.62+0.18vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.84+1.13vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College0.48+1.12vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida-0.14+1.38vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-0.06+0.36vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.11-0.96vs Predicted
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10University of Florida-1.42+1.56vs Predicted
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11Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64-4.37vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-1.37-0.55vs Predicted
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13Florida State University-2.39-0.12vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-0.18-5.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
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4.01Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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3.57University of South Florida1.860.2%1st Place
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4.18Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
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6.13Jacksonville University0.840.1%1st Place
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7.12Eckerd College0.480.1%1st Place
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8.38University of South Florida-0.140.0%1st Place
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8.36Embry-Riddle University-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.04University of South Florida0.110.0%1st Place
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11.56University of Florida-1.420.0%1st Place
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6.63Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.1%1st Place
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11.45Florida Institute of Technology-1.370.0%1st Place
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12.88Florida State University-2.390.0%1st Place
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8.6University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 15.2% | 17.1% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 16.9% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 21.2% | 18.4% | 16.0% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 14.8% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Fiona Froelich | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Blake March | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 0.6% |
| Mason Howell | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 6.3% | 0.8% |
| Sara Menesale | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Ava Moring | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 19.8% | 28.8% | 18.7% |
| Dawson Kohl | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| William Meade | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 11.8% | 19.5% | 26.9% | 18.1% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 9.3% | 18.3% | 59.3% |
| Charlie Eckert | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 5.9% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.