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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.51+2.51vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.85+2.77vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida-0.19+4.15vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.64-0.78vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University-0.56+2.83vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.56-2.69vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology-1.07+1.92vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College-0.17-0.97vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.15-4.78vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.66+0.21vs Predicted
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11Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94-2.34vs Predicted
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12Florida State University-1.40-2.12vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-3.11-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51Jacksonville University1.510.2%1st Place
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4.77Jacksonville University0.850.1%1st Place
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7.15University of South Florida-0.190.0%1st Place
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3.22Eckerd College1.640.2%1st Place
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7.83Jacksonville University-0.560.0%1st Place
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3.31University of South Florida1.560.2%1st Place
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8.92Florida Institute of Technology-1.070.0%1st Place
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7.03Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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4.22University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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10.21Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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8.66Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.0%1st Place
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9.88Florida State University-1.400.0%1st Place
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12.27University of Central Florida-3.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 19.0% | 17.9% | 18.1% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 9.4% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Vieira | 22.3% | 20.5% | 18.2% | 15.2% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Lansford | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 0.8% |
| Kailey Warrior | 22.0% | 19.9% | 17.9% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Mullray | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 16.7% | 18.8% | 14.4% | 2.5% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Grace Jones | 12.5% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 17.8% | 27.8% | 12.0% |
| Nathan Hjort | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 17.4% | 14.4% | 10.0% | 2.8% |
| Kaan Akdogan | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 18.7% | 24.8% | 8.7% |
| Nicolas Benavides | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 12.1% | 72.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.