← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University1.51+2.46vs Predicted
-
2Eckerd College1.64+1.26vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University0.85+1.83vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida1.56-0.60vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida1.15-0.85vs Predicted
-
6Florida Institute of Technology-1.07+2.98vs Predicted
-
7Embry-Riddle University-1.66+3.16vs Predicted
-
8Eckerd College-0.17-1.02vs Predicted
-
9Jacksonville University-0.56-0.97vs Predicted
-
10Florida State University-1.40-0.31vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida-0.19-4.07vs Predicted
-
12University of Central Florida-3.11+0.25vs Predicted
-
13Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.46Jacksonville University1.510.2%1st Place
-
3.26Eckerd College1.640.2%1st Place
-
4.83Jacksonville University0.850.1%1st Place
-
3.4University of South Florida1.560.2%1st Place
-
4.15University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
-
8.98Florida Institute of Technology-1.070.0%1st Place
-
10.16Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
-
6.98Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
-
8.03Jacksonville University-0.560.0%1st Place
-
9.69Florida State University-1.400.0%1st Place
-
6.93University of South Florida-0.190.0%1st Place
-
12.25University of Central Florida-3.110.0%1st Place
-
8.89Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 20.6% | 17.2% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 21.7% | 21.2% | 17.1% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 8.7% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kailey Warrior | 21.2% | 18.6% | 15.9% | 16.3% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Jones | 14.5% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Mullray | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 17.2% | 18.1% | 12.5% | 3.4% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 28.7% | 11.9% |
| Lily Schwartz | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Ella Lansford | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 1.6% |
| Kaan Akdogan | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 18.6% | 22.6% | 7.6% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Nicolas Benavides | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 12.2% | 72.0% |
| Nathan Hjort | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 12.1% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.