Race 1A

callagy-ross

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Marco Welch 13.7% 13.8% 11.3% 14.1% 13.0% 11.9% 11.9% 7.6% 2.7%
Gavin Monaghan 11.4% 13.4% 15.7% 13.8% 14.3% 12.0% 8.2% 8.2% 3.0%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 26.1% 20.9% 17.8% 12.9% 10.2% 7.2% 3.9% 0.7% 0.3%
Carter Anderson 14.6% 15.7% 15.2% 13.5% 12.7% 12.2% 8.2% 5.7% 2.2%
Luke Kenahan 9.4% 11.8% 11.4% 12.5% 10.9% 12.0% 13.5% 11.1% 7.4%
Wilfred Hynes 3.3% 2.2% 4.0% 4.1% 6.3% 7.1% 10.6% 19.8% 42.6%
Walter Chiles 9.5% 10.2% 11.8% 11.8% 13.8% 14.0% 14.2% 10.0% 4.7%
Mikhail Lavrenov 7.1% 7.0% 7.5% 9.2% 10.5% 13.9% 14.3% 16.3% 14.2%
Amanda Yolles 4.9% 5.0% 5.3% 8.1% 8.3% 9.7% 15.2% 20.6% 22.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.