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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College1.88+5.53vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+3.75vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.39+3.54vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.46+6.52vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.81+2.92vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.59+0.43vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.94+0.60vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.95-2.35vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.71-1.96vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-1.65vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.68-4.72vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California1.25-4.29vs Predicted
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13George Washington University0.70-3.49vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.72-4.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53SUNY Maritime College1.888.6%1st Place
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5.75St. Mary's College of Maryland2.0511.7%1st Place
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6.54Boston University1.399.8%1st Place
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10.52Princeton University0.462.5%1st Place
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7.92Old Dominion University1.815.6%1st Place
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6.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.599.2%1st Place
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7.6Fordham University1.947.2%1st Place
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5.65U. S. Naval Academy1.9511.5%1st Place
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7.04Northeastern University1.716.9%1st Place
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8.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.225.0%1st Place
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6.28Cornell University1.689.5%1st Place
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7.71University of Southern California1.256.3%1st Place
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9.51George Washington University0.703.1%1st Place
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9.18University of Vermont0.723.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Barnes | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Charlie Anderson | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
| Ossian Kamal | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 14.6% | 30.4% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% |
| Trenton Shaw | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Will Priebe | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Lars Osell | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% |
| J.J. Smith | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Jan Matteo Bassi | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 4.5% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 16.7% |
| Ryan Potter | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.