← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University3.95+4.98vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+10.18vs Predicted
-
3Boston University3.03+6.55vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University3.16+5.17vs Predicted
-
5Boston College3.92+1.09vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University3.56+1.73vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College3.18+1.99vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-0.07vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston4.11-3.30vs Predicted
-
10Yale University3.50-2.35vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University3.33-2.41vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-3.23vs Predicted
-
13University of Miami2.43-1.00vs Predicted
-
14University of Minnesota1.77+0.03vs Predicted
-
15Brown University3.05-5.48vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College3.55-8.38vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont2.55-5.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.98Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
12.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
-
9.55Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
-
9.17Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
-
6.09Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
-
7.73Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
-
8.99Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
7.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
-
5.7College of Charleston4.110.1%1st Place
-
7.65Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
-
8.59Georgetown University3.330.1%1st Place
-
8.77St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
-
12.0University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
-
14.03University of Minnesota1.770.0%1st Place
-
9.52Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
-
7.62Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
-
11.51University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Macdonald | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 16.5% | 15.5% |
| Ian Towill | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 3.4% |
| Gram Slattery | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| William Bailey | 11.0% | 12.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| John Renehan | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| David Alfonso | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 10.6% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Daniel Eichler | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Ian Liberty | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Alex Olt | 2.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 14.0% |
| Natalie Sinn | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 40.6% |
| Drew Shea | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Steven Pelissier | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.