Race 2A

callagy-ross

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Amanda Yolles 5.5% 3.6% 5.8% 8.1% 9.2% 10.3% 12.9% 21.2% 23.4%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 22.4% 23.7% 15.6% 13.5% 11.4% 6.6% 3.9% 2.5% 0.4%
Luke Kenahan 7.5% 10.5% 11.1% 11.9% 12.1% 13.3% 15.8% 11.5% 6.3%
Mikhail Lavrenov 6.0% 6.9% 9.9% 9.5% 11.7% 12.7% 13.5% 16.2% 13.6%
Carter Anderson 16.4% 16.2% 15.0% 11.5% 12.2% 10.8% 8.9% 6.3% 2.7%
Marco Welch 13.3% 12.1% 13.7% 13.4% 14.6% 13.4% 10.3% 6.7% 2.5%
Gavin Monaghan 14.1% 13.2% 15.0% 14.9% 12.2% 12.3% 10.0% 6.1% 2.2%
Walter Chiles 11.1% 11.1% 9.9% 13.4% 11.3% 13.2% 13.3% 10.8% 5.9%
Wilfred Hynes 3.7% 2.7% 4.0% 3.8% 5.3% 7.4% 11.4% 18.7% 43.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.