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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.67+3.35vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.77+2.34vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34+2.07vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.78+0.03vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.38-2.03vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.32+0.31vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College0.43-2.12vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.01-2.25vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-0.86-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.35University of Vermont0.670.1%1st Place
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4.34Boston University0.770.1%1st Place
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5.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.1%1st Place
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4.03Northeastern University0.780.1%1st Place
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2.97University of Vermont1.380.3%1st Place
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6.31Bates College-0.320.0%1st Place
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4.88Middlebury College0.430.1%1st Place
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5.75McGill University-0.010.1%1st Place
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7.3Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Welch | 13.4% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 2.9% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 10.2% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| Luke Kenahan | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 11.4% | 6.2% |
| Carter Anderson | 13.6% | 16.7% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 1.9% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 30.1% | 20.9% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Amanda Yolles | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 15.5% | 21.3% | 20.4% |
| Walter Chiles | 9.2% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 4.8% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 14.8% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 17.5% | 45.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.