Race 4A

callagy-ross

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Carter Anderson 15.0% 14.3% 13.8% 14.9% 12.8% 10.5% 9.9% 7.1% 1.7%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 22.0% 23.9% 15.4% 14.8% 10.5% 6.4% 4.3% 1.9% 0.8%
Marco Welch 12.5% 12.6% 13.4% 13.4% 14.2% 11.8% 11.9% 7.1% 3.1%
Gavin Monaghan 15.2% 13.2% 15.9% 14.8% 12.4% 12.5% 7.8% 6.0% 2.2%
Luke Kenahan 10.0% 10.5% 13.5% 10.2% 12.7% 12.1% 12.8% 10.4% 7.8%
Walter Chiles 10.3% 10.4% 11.6% 11.5% 13.9% 15.3% 12.5% 9.8% 4.7%
Amanda Yolles 4.9% 4.1% 5.4% 7.7% 8.6% 10.0% 15.5% 22.3% 21.5%
Mikhail Lavrenov 6.8% 7.5% 7.5% 9.1% 11.2% 12.0% 15.3% 17.5% 13.1%
Wilfred Hynes 3.3% 3.5% 3.5% 3.6% 3.7% 9.4% 10.0% 17.9% 45.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.