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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.22+2.07vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.78+2.03vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College0.43+1.58vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34+0.64vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.77-1.18vs Predicted
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6Bentley University-0.86+1.03vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.32-0.86vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.01-2.55vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont-0.39-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07University of Vermont1.220.2%1st Place
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4.03Northeastern University0.780.1%1st Place
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4.58Middlebury College0.430.1%1st Place
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4.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.1%1st Place
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3.82Boston University0.770.2%1st Place
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7.03Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
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6.14Bates College-0.320.1%1st Place
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5.45McGill University-0.010.1%1st Place
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6.24University of Vermont-0.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Burt | 24.8% | 21.3% | 17.0% | 15.5% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Carter Anderson | 11.8% | 17.3% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Walter Chiles | 11.1% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 3.1% |
| Luke Kenahan | 11.0% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 4.7% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 18.6% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 20.7% | 36.5% |
| Amanda Yolles | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 17.7% | 18.8% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 10.7% |
| William Gear | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 18.5% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.