← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont1.22+2.07vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34+2.95vs Predicted
-
3Boston University0.77+0.90vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University0.78-0.25vs Predicted
-
5Middlebury College0.43-0.53vs Predicted
-
6Bates College-0.32+0.06vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont-0.39-0.75vs Predicted
-
8McGill University-0.01-2.54vs Predicted
-
9Bentley University-0.86-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.07University of Vermont1.220.3%1st Place
-
4.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.1%1st Place
-
3.9Boston University0.770.2%1st Place
-
3.75Northeastern University0.780.2%1st Place
-
4.47Middlebury College0.430.1%1st Place
-
6.06Bates College-0.320.1%1st Place
-
6.25University of Vermont-0.390.1%1st Place
-
5.46McGill University-0.010.1%1st Place
-
7.08Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Burt | 25.1% | 21.8% | 16.2% | 15.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Luke Kenahan | 7.7% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 5.7% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 15.9% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Carter Anderson | 17.2% | 15.7% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Walter Chiles | 12.3% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% |
| Amanda Yolles | 5.4% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 18.4% | 17.2% |
| William Gear | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 20.4% | 19.3% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 10.9% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 19.7% | 38.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.