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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College0.43+3.57vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont-0.39+4.39vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.78+0.91vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.22-1.03vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34-0.36vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.77-2.17vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.32-0.86vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.01-2.52vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-0.86-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.57Middlebury College0.430.1%1st Place
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6.39University of Vermont-0.390.0%1st Place
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3.91Northeastern University0.780.2%1st Place
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2.97University of Vermont1.220.2%1st Place
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4.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.1%1st Place
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3.83Boston University0.770.2%1st Place
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6.14Bates College-0.320.1%1st Place
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5.48McGill University-0.010.1%1st Place
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7.07Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Chiles | 11.4% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 4.0% |
| William Gear | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 16.5% | 19.4% | 21.8% |
| Carter Anderson | 16.1% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Ethan Burt | 24.6% | 25.1% | 17.1% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Luke Kenahan | 11.0% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 5.5% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 16.4% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Amanda Yolles | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 19.6% | 16.8% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 7.9% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 10.4% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 14.0% | 17.5% | 38.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.