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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.22+2.06vs Predicted
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2McGill University-0.01+3.69vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.78+0.89vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.32+1.98vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont-0.39+1.07vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34-1.29vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College0.43-2.42vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.77-4.07vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-0.86-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06University of Vermont1.220.3%1st Place
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5.69McGill University-0.010.1%1st Place
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3.89Northeastern University0.780.2%1st Place
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5.98Bates College-0.320.1%1st Place
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6.07University of Vermont-0.390.1%1st Place
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4.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.1%1st Place
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4.58Middlebury College0.430.1%1st Place
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3.93Boston University0.770.2%1st Place
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7.1Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Burt | 25.6% | 21.6% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 17.4% | 14.9% | 11.5% |
| Carter Anderson | 17.2% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Amanda Yolles | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 18.1% | 17.1% |
| William Gear | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 18.1% | 20.5% |
| Luke Kenahan | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 4.6% |
| Walter Chiles | 11.1% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 3.1% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 16.1% | 17.7% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 17.9% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.