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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.22+2.08vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.78+2.01vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.77+0.93vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont-0.39+2.15vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34-0.37vs Predicted
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6Bentley University-0.86+1.07vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.32-0.85vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.01-2.55vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College0.43-4.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.08University of Vermont1.220.2%1st Place
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4.01Northeastern University0.780.1%1st Place
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3.93Boston University0.770.2%1st Place
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6.15University of Vermont-0.390.0%1st Place
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4.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.1%1st Place
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7.07Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
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6.15Bates College-0.320.1%1st Place
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5.45McGill University-0.010.1%1st Place
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4.53Middlebury College0.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Burt | 25.0% | 20.5% | 18.6% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Carter Anderson | 12.5% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 16.9% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| William Gear | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 17.3% | 20.5% |
| Luke Kenahan | 11.3% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 5.5% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 19.0% | 38.0% |
| Amanda Yolles | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 20.0% | 18.1% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 8.2% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 10.5% |
| Walter Chiles | 12.3% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.