Race 10A

callagy-ross

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Ethan Burt 26.1% 20.2% 17.1% 13.7% 10.5% 6.3% 4.1% 1.9% 0.1%
Gavin Monaghan 13.1% 17.1% 15.0% 14.7% 13.0% 9.9% 9.4% 5.7% 2.1%
Luke Kenahan 10.0% 10.7% 11.8% 12.7% 12.2% 15.5% 12.5% 10.0% 4.6%
William Gear 5.0% 5.1% 7.0% 9.3% 9.0% 12.3% 14.5% 18.5% 19.3%
Mikhail Lavrenov 7.4% 9.7% 11.5% 10.0% 10.6% 12.9% 12.8% 13.3% 11.8%
Carter Anderson 16.7% 16.9% 16.4% 14.0% 12.4% 10.5% 7.9% 3.8% 1.4%
Walter Chiles 11.0% 11.6% 11.6% 13.6% 15.9% 13.4% 10.7% 8.8% 3.4%
Amanda Yolles 6.6% 5.0% 6.7% 7.4% 10.2% 10.9% 16.2% 18.4% 18.6%
Wilfred Hynes 4.1% 3.7% 2.9% 4.6% 6.2% 8.3% 11.9% 19.6% 38.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.