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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+2.64vs Predicted
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2Penn State University0.96+0.04vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.64+1.26vs Predicted
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4Hamilton College0.21-1.03vs Predicted
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5Colgate University-1.21+0.09vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-0.89-1.38vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-1.42-1.58vs Predicted
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8Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.42-0.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.1%1st Place
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2.04Penn State University0.960.4%1st Place
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4.26Syracuse University-0.640.1%1st Place
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2.97Hamilton College0.210.2%1st Place
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5.09Colgate University-1.210.0%1st Place
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4.62University of Rochester-0.890.1%1st Place
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5.42Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
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7.95Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Bender | 13.4% | 16.9% | 18.6% | 17.0% | 17.9% | 10.4% | 5.6% | 0.2% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 42.7% | 27.9% | 16.9% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Ballou | 8.7% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 20.7% | 16.7% | 11.6% | 0.1% |
| Alan Becker | 20.6% | 22.8% | 21.7% | 17.5% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Jack Pearlson | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 23.8% | 25.6% | 0.7% |
| Abby Eckert | 6.2% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 16.3% | 17.0% | 20.9% | 17.3% | 0.4% |
| Collin Ross | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 21.5% | 36.6% | 1.2% |
| Isabel Allerheiligen | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 97.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.