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📊 Prediction Accuracy
14.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.95+5.11vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College1.88+4.96vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.81+5.30vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+2.21vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.71+2.37vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.94+2.15vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.72+2.55vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.39-1.21vs Predicted
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9Princeton University0.46+1.77vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.82-4.02vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California1.71-4.46vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-3.31vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.59-6.24vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.68-7.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11U. S. Naval Academy1.9510.4%1st Place
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6.96SUNY Maritime College1.887.4%1st Place
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8.3Old Dominion University1.815.8%1st Place
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6.21St. Mary's College of Maryland2.059.5%1st Place
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7.37Northeastern University1.717.0%1st Place
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8.15Fordham University1.945.0%1st Place
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9.55University of Vermont0.723.2%1st Place
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6.79Boston University1.398.3%1st Place
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10.77Princeton University0.461.9%1st Place
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5.98George Washington University1.8210.3%1st Place
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6.54University of Southern California1.719.3%1st Place
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8.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.224.2%1st Place
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6.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.598.3%1st Place
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6.81Cornell University1.689.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trenton Shaw | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Spencer Barnes | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 8.4% |
| Charlie Anderson | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Will Priebe | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.1% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% |
| Ryan Potter | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 16.6% |
| Noah Robitshek | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Ossian Kamal | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 34.2% |
| Tyler Wood | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Lars Osell | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.3% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| J.J. Smith | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.