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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.95+4.96vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.03+7.56vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.55+4.57vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+4.15vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+3.57vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.33+2.61vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.50+0.80vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.18+0.84vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.16+0.34vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston4.11-4.55vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.55+0.50vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.05-2.47vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.92-6.67vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-1.58vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.43-3.14vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.56-8.38vs Predicted
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17University of Minnesota1.77-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.96Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.56Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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7.57Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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8.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.57St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.1%1st Place
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8.61Georgetown University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.8Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.84Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.34Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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5.45College of Charleston4.110.1%1st Place
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11.5University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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9.53Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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6.33Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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12.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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11.86University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
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7.62Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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13.9University of Minnesota1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Macdonald | 11.6% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian Towill | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| David Alfonso | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Ian Liberty | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Daniel Eichler | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| John Renehan | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 13.5% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Steven Pelissier | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 10.9% |
| Drew Shea | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| William Bailey | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 18.1% |
| Alex Olt | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 13.8% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Natalie Sinn | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 15.7% | 37.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.