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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.96+1.01vs Predicted
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2Hamilton College0.21+1.00vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.64+1.24vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30-0.25vs Predicted
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5Colgate University-1.21+0.05vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-0.89-1.41vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-1.42-1.58vs Predicted
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8Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.42-0.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01Penn State University0.960.5%1st Place
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3.0Hamilton College0.210.2%1st Place
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4.24Syracuse University-0.640.1%1st Place
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3.75Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.1%1st Place
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5.05Colgate University-1.210.0%1st Place
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4.59University of Rochester-0.890.1%1st Place
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5.42Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
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7.95Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 45.9% | 25.5% | 16.4% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alan Becker | 19.2% | 24.3% | 21.5% | 16.3% | 11.5% | 5.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Ballou | 8.6% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 17.6% | 19.6% | 16.8% | 11.4% | 0.1% |
| Cole Bender | 10.7% | 17.2% | 18.3% | 18.0% | 17.8% | 12.1% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Jack Pearlson | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 17.7% | 23.6% | 24.9% | 0.8% |
| Abby Eckert | 6.8% | 8.4% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 18.0% | 18.8% | 17.8% | 0.4% |
| Collin Ross | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 22.0% | 36.6% | 1.2% |
| Isabel Allerheiligen | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.6% | 97.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.