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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.96+1.38vs Predicted
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2Queen's University0.26+1.53vs Predicted
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3Hamilton College0.21+0.49vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.64+0.90vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30-0.75vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-1.42+0.22vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester-0.89-1.59vs Predicted
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8Colgate University-1.21-2.09vs Predicted
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9Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.42-0.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Penn State University0.960.4%1st Place
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3.53Queen's University0.260.1%1st Place
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3.49Hamilton College0.210.2%1st Place
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4.9Syracuse University-0.640.1%1st Place
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4.25Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.1%1st Place
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6.22Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
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5.41University of Rochester-0.890.1%1st Place
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5.91Colgate University-1.210.0%1st Place
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8.92Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 35.9% | 25.7% | 17.2% | 11.6% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julian Hill | 14.2% | 19.2% | 20.5% | 17.0% | 13.4% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Alan Becker | 18.1% | 17.2% | 17.7% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Ballou | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 0.1% |
| Cole Bender | 10.5% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 6.1% | 0.1% |
| Collin Ross | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 21.7% | 34.1% | 1.1% |
| Abby Eckert | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 20.3% | 16.2% | 0.7% |
| Jack Pearlson | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 21.3% | 27.3% | 1.0% |
| Isabel Allerheiligen | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 96.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.