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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rochester-0.89+3.58vs Predicted
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2Penn State University0.96+0.04vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+0.70vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-1.42+1.44vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College0.21-2.05vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-0.64-1.79vs Predicted
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7Colgate University-1.21-1.87vs Predicted
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8Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.42-0.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.58University of Rochester-0.890.1%1st Place
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2.04Penn State University0.960.4%1st Place
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3.7Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.1%1st Place
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5.44Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
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2.95Hamilton College0.210.2%1st Place
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4.21Syracuse University-0.640.1%1st Place
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5.13Colgate University-1.210.0%1st Place
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7.95Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abby Eckert | 6.7% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 18.5% | 19.8% | 16.4% | 0.5% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 43.2% | 28.5% | 14.8% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 13.4% | 15.0% | 17.6% | 19.5% | 16.8% | 12.5% | 5.1% | 0.1% |
| Collin Ross | 3.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 22.5% | 35.7% | 1.2% |
| Alan Becker | 19.9% | 24.6% | 22.2% | 15.6% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Ballou | 9.0% | 11.0% | 15.5% | 18.3% | 17.8% | 17.7% | 10.5% | 0.2% |
| Jack Pearlson | 4.5% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 18.4% | 19.5% | 29.6% | 0.8% |
| Isabel Allerheiligen | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 97.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.