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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.96+1.00vs Predicted
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2Hamilton College0.21+1.00vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+0.70vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.64+0.25vs Predicted
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5Colgate University-1.21+0.08vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-0.89-1.42vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-1.42-1.58vs Predicted
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8Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.42-0.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0Penn State University0.960.5%1st Place
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3.0Hamilton College0.210.2%1st Place
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3.7Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.1%1st Place
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4.25Syracuse University-0.640.1%1st Place
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5.08Colgate University-1.210.0%1st Place
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4.58University of Rochester-0.890.1%1st Place
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5.42Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
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7.95Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 45.7% | 26.3% | 15.9% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alan Becker | 19.4% | 24.3% | 20.7% | 16.6% | 12.0% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 12.1% | 16.3% | 18.5% | 18.2% | 17.0% | 13.2% | 4.6% | 0.1% |
| Tucker Ballou | 7.3% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 17.0% | 19.2% | 16.5% | 12.0% | 0.1% |
| Jack Pearlson | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 17.6% | 23.7% | 25.4% | 0.8% |
| Abby Eckert | 6.8% | 8.6% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 18.3% | 18.3% | 17.8% | 0.4% |
| Collin Ross | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 21.9% | 36.5% | 1.2% |
| Isabel Allerheiligen | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 97.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.