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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.96+1.23vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.64+2.60vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester-0.89+1.93vs Predicted
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4Hamilton College0.21-0.71vs Predicted
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5Queen's University0.26-1.78vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-1.42-0.34vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30-2.88vs Predicted
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8Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.42-0.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23Penn State University0.960.4%1st Place
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4.6Syracuse University-0.640.1%1st Place
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4.93University of Rochester-0.890.1%1st Place
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3.29Hamilton College0.210.2%1st Place
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3.22Queen's University0.260.2%1st Place
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5.66Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
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4.12Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.1%1st Place
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7.96Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 38.2% | 28.5% | 16.1% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Ballou | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 20.2% | 22.8% | 14.5% | 0.3% |
| Abby Eckert | 5.5% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 15.9% | 26.4% | 22.0% | 0.3% |
| Alan Becker | 16.8% | 19.0% | 19.7% | 20.1% | 14.0% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Julian Hill | 18.1% | 19.7% | 22.2% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Collin Ross | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 17.9% | 44.7% | 1.5% |
| Cole Bender | 10.6% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 18.5% | 18.0% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 0.1% |
| Isabel Allerheiligen | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 97.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.