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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.54+0.66vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.26+0.43vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-1.18+0.52vs Predicted
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4University of Rochester-2.83+1.78vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-1.53-1.07vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College-3.050.00vs Predicted
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7Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.78-0.09vs Predicted
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8Colgate University-2.90-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.66Penn State University0.540.6%1st Place
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2.43Syracuse University-0.260.2%1st Place
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3.52Rochester Institute of Technology-1.180.1%1st Place
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5.78University of Rochester-2.830.0%1st Place
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3.93Syracuse University-1.530.1%1st Place
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6.0Hamilton College-3.050.0%1st Place
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6.91Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.780.0%1st Place
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5.78Colgate University-2.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Murphy | 56.4% | 27.0% | 12.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 23.1% | 35.5% | 22.7% | 13.5% | 4.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alden Burt | 9.1% | 15.1% | 25.9% | 26.4% | 14.6% | 6.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Carlos Lopez | 1.1% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 16.6% | 23.9% | 25.2% | 13.8% |
| Caitlin DeLessio | 6.7% | 10.9% | 20.5% | 27.2% | 19.9% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
| Reid Chapman | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 16.8% | 22.2% | 23.3% | 20.9% |
| Serena Aumick | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 13.8% | 21.0% | 50.5% |
| Stew Adams | 1.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 20.0% | 23.5% | 24.2% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.