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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.54+0.67vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-1.18+1.50vs Predicted
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3Hamilton College-3.05+3.03vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.26-1.56vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-1.53-1.03vs Predicted
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6Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.78+0.85vs Predicted
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7Colgate University-2.90-1.12vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester-2.83-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.67Penn State University0.540.5%1st Place
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3.5Rochester Institute of Technology-1.180.1%1st Place
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6.03Hamilton College-3.050.0%1st Place
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2.44Syracuse University-0.260.2%1st Place
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3.97Syracuse University-1.530.1%1st Place
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6.85Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.780.0%1st Place
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5.88Colgate University-2.900.0%1st Place
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5.68University of Rochester-2.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Murphy | 54.3% | 30.1% | 12.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alden Burt | 10.2% | 14.0% | 26.3% | 26.4% | 14.2% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Reid Chapman | 1.7% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 21.2% | 27.6% | 20.2% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 23.2% | 33.3% | 25.9% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin DeLessio | 6.6% | 11.3% | 18.0% | 26.2% | 24.1% | 9.1% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Serena Aumick | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 20.8% | 48.8% |
| Stew Adams | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 17.1% | 24.1% | 23.1% | 17.5% |
| Carlos Lopez | 1.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 10.2% | 20.1% | 24.4% | 22.3% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.