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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University0.55+1.16vs Predicted
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2Penn State University0.54+0.24vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.26+0.13vs Predicted
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4Hamilton College-3.05+2.96vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-2.83+1.65vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-1.18-1.65vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-1.53-2.15vs Predicted
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8Colgate University-2.90-1.22vs Predicted
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9Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.78-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.16Queen's University0.550.4%1st Place
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2.24Penn State University0.540.3%1st Place
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3.13Syracuse University-0.260.2%1st Place
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6.96Hamilton College-3.050.0%1st Place
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6.65University of Rochester-2.830.0%1st Place
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4.35Rochester Institute of Technology-1.180.1%1st Place
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4.85Syracuse University-1.530.0%1st Place
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6.78Colgate University-2.900.0%1st Place
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7.88Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Elia | 36.3% | 30.2% | 20.7% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Murphy | 33.0% | 31.1% | 21.8% | 8.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 15.6% | 20.1% | 24.9% | 21.6% | 12.4% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Reid Chapman | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 15.8% | 23.2% | 26.1% | 18.2% |
| Carlos Lopez | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 18.3% | 21.6% | 21.9% | 15.3% |
| Alden Burt | 6.7% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 24.5% | 24.0% | 15.1% | 6.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Caitlin DeLessio | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 19.5% | 25.6% | 20.9% | 10.2% | 4.4% | 0.6% |
| Stew Adams | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 9.2% | 16.8% | 23.6% | 23.4% | 16.3% |
| Serena Aumick | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 13.3% | 22.3% | 49.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.