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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.54+0.65vs Predicted
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2University of Rochester-2.83+3.75vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.26-0.61vs Predicted
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4Hamilton College-3.05+2.07vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-1.18-1.49vs Predicted
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6Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.78+0.87vs Predicted
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7Colgate University-2.90-1.16vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-1.53-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.65Penn State University0.540.6%1st Place
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5.75University of Rochester-2.830.0%1st Place
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2.39Syracuse University-0.260.2%1st Place
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6.07Hamilton College-3.050.0%1st Place
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3.51Rochester Institute of Technology-1.180.1%1st Place
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6.87Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.780.0%1st Place
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5.84Colgate University-2.900.0%1st Place
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3.93Syracuse University-1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Murphy | 56.1% | 28.6% | 10.6% | 4.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carlos Lopez | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 20.2% | 23.3% | 24.1% | 13.3% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 24.3% | 33.4% | 26.8% | 11.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Reid Chapman | 1.3% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 15.9% | 22.3% | 26.4% | 20.1% |
| Alden Burt | 9.1% | 15.9% | 23.9% | 27.2% | 15.9% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Serena Aumick | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 8.8% | 14.9% | 21.2% | 47.8% |
| Stew Adams | 1.8% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 17.1% | 23.3% | 22.5% | 17.4% |
| Caitlin DeLessio | 4.7% | 13.0% | 20.3% | 29.3% | 18.6% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.