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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.54+0.64vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-1.53+1.73vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.26-0.67vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-1.18-0.65vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-2.83+0.28vs Predicted
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6Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.78+0.25vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College-3.05-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.64Penn State University0.540.6%1st Place
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3.73Syracuse University-1.530.1%1st Place
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2.33Syracuse University-0.260.2%1st Place
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3.35Rochester Institute of Technology-1.180.1%1st Place
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5.28University of Rochester-2.830.0%1st Place
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6.25Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.780.0%1st Place
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5.42Hamilton College-3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Murphy | 55.4% | 29.4% | 11.2% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin DeLessio | 7.1% | 10.6% | 23.0% | 31.0% | 19.4% | 7.6% | 1.3% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 24.1% | 37.8% | 23.5% | 10.5% | 3.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alden Burt | 9.2% | 16.3% | 28.6% | 27.2% | 14.2% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Carlos Lopez | 1.8% | 2.3% | 5.7% | 12.5% | 29.4% | 30.3% | 18.0% |
| Serena Aumick | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 11.6% | 22.1% | 58.3% |
| Reid Chapman | 1.9% | 2.4% | 5.8% | 11.2% | 21.2% | 35.7% | 21.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.