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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.54+1.12vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-1.18+2.20vs Predicted
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3Queen's University0.55-0.86vs Predicted
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4Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.78+3.19vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.26-1.94vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-1.53-1.38vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College-3.05-0.53vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester-2.83-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12Penn State University0.540.4%1st Place
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4.2Rochester Institute of Technology-1.180.1%1st Place
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2.14Queen's University0.550.3%1st Place
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7.19Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.780.0%1st Place
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3.06Syracuse University-0.260.1%1st Place
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4.62Syracuse University-1.530.0%1st Place
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6.47Hamilton College-3.050.0%1st Place
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6.2University of Rochester-2.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Murphy | 37.3% | 30.4% | 19.4% | 9.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alden Burt | 6.6% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 28.2% | 24.3% | 15.7% | 4.1% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Elia | 34.8% | 32.4% | 20.9% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Serena Aumick | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 12.4% | 21.9% | 56.9% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 14.5% | 19.9% | 29.2% | 21.0% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin DeLessio | 4.7% | 5.0% | 11.4% | 20.1% | 31.2% | 18.5% | 7.5% | 1.6% |
| Reid Chapman | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 9.7% | 21.0% | 34.3% | 25.4% |
| Carlos Lopez | 0.6% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 12.9% | 28.4% | 31.8% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.