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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.50+2.50vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.65+1.21vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.10-0.35vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.56-1.86vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.17-1.03vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University-0.40-0.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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3.21Bowdoin College1.650.2%1st Place
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2.65Boston College2.100.2%1st Place
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2.14Harvard University2.560.4%1st Place
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3.97Brown University1.170.1%1st Place
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5.52Northeastern University-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavia Smith | 11.8% | 16.4% | 17.5% | 24.4% | 24.1% | 5.8% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 16.1% | 19.0% | 20.2% | 21.3% | 18.8% | 4.6% |
| Nick Budington | 24.7% | 25.3% | 22.1% | 16.9% | 9.7% | 1.3% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 38.0% | 27.7% | 20.4% | 10.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 8.1% | 9.9% | 16.6% | 20.5% | 32.3% | 12.6% |
| Jack Whitman | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 12.3% | 75.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.