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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.10+1.74vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.65+1.23vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.56-0.85vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.17-0.11vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University-0.40+0.50vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.50-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74Boston College2.100.2%1st Place
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3.23Bowdoin College1.650.2%1st Place
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2.15Harvard University2.560.4%1st Place
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3.89Brown University1.170.1%1st Place
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5.5Northeastern University-0.400.0%1st Place
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3.5Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Budington | 22.8% | 23.7% | 24.1% | 18.1% | 8.8% | 2.5% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 15.6% | 19.7% | 18.9% | 22.1% | 19.3% | 4.4% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 38.4% | 28.1% | 18.9% | 10.3% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 9.6% | 10.5% | 15.9% | 20.3% | 32.7% | 11.0% |
| Jack Whitman | 1.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 12.0% | 75.6% |
| Tavia Smith | 12.6% | 14.7% | 18.4% | 24.9% | 23.5% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.