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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.65+2.27vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.56+0.14vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.50+0.42vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.17-0.15vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.10-2.20vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University-0.40-0.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Bowdoin College1.650.1%1st Place
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2.14Harvard University2.560.4%1st Place
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3.42Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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3.85Brown University1.170.1%1st Place
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2.8Boston College2.100.2%1st Place
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5.52Northeastern University-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stevens | 14.1% | 19.8% | 19.9% | 22.5% | 18.5% | 5.2% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 41.3% | 24.3% | 19.4% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 0.6% |
| Tavia Smith | 12.9% | 15.7% | 20.2% | 24.1% | 21.5% | 5.6% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 8.4% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 23.0% | 30.4% | 9.9% |
| Nick Budington | 21.8% | 26.2% | 20.3% | 16.3% | 12.6% | 2.8% |
| Jack Whitman | 1.5% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 12.1% | 75.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.