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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.65+2.30vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.10+0.63vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.56-0.88vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.17-0.14vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.50-1.43vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University-0.40-0.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3Bowdoin College1.650.1%1st Place
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2.63Boston College2.100.3%1st Place
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2.12Harvard University2.560.4%1st Place
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3.86Brown University1.170.1%1st Place
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3.57Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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5.51Northeastern University-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stevens | 13.2% | 20.7% | 18.9% | 22.6% | 19.6% | 5.0% |
| Nick Budington | 26.3% | 24.8% | 20.7% | 17.3% | 9.4% | 1.5% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 39.5% | 27.2% | 19.1% | 10.7% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 9.0% | 10.3% | 17.6% | 21.0% | 32.7% | 9.4% |
| Tavia Smith | 10.6% | 14.9% | 20.8% | 22.5% | 22.7% | 8.5% |
| Jack Whitman | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 12.7% | 75.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.