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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.75+5.20vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.26+6.20vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.01+6.38vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+1.60vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.15+7.85vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.68+4.76vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97+2.66vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.77+1.99vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.90+0.68vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.61+0.95vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.86+3.05vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.55-4.85vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.77+1.66vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.06-5.06vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.57-3.87vs Predicted
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16Williams College-1.22+2.89vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.38-9.52vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-5.79vs Predicted
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19Harvard University2.47-11.77vs Predicted
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20Salve Regina University0.62-5.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.2Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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9.38Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.6Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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12.85University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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10.76Northeastern University1.680.0%1st Place
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9.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.0%1st Place
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9.99Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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9.68Tufts University1.900.0%1st Place
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10.95Tufts University1.610.0%1st Place
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14.05Tufts University0.860.0%1st Place
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7.15Brown University2.550.1%1st Place
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14.66Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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8.94Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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11.13Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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18.89Williams College-1.220.0%1st Place
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7.48Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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12.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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7.23Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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14.98Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 11.3% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.4% | 13.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Olin Guck | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 2.6% |
| Sam Monaghan | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Andy Yu | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Shea Smith | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Adam Larzelere | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 5.5% |
| Martins Atilla | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 20.6% | 5.7% |
| Lucy Meagher | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Danielson | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 74.9% |
| Mathieu Dale | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 1.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 21.2% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.