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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.55+5.92vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97+7.35vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.01+6.40vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.90+5.74vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.26+3.17vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.38+1.71vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.75-0.54vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.06+0.74vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.92-3.47vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.47-2.66vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.86+3.05vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.57-0.59vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.77-2.42vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.61-3.06vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.68-4.39vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-3.90vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.77-2.76vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.15-5.05vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University0.62-4.23vs Predicted
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20Williams College-1.22-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.92Brown University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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9.4Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.74Tufts University1.900.0%1st Place
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8.17Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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7.71Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.46Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.74Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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5.53Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.34Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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14.05Tufts University0.860.0%1st Place
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11.41Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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10.58Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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10.94Tufts University1.610.0%1st Place
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10.61Northeastern University1.680.0%1st Place
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12.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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14.24Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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12.95University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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14.77Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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19.0Williams College-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martins Atilla | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Andy Yu | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Shea Smith | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.1% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 15.1% | 16.3% | 3.8% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Jack Flores | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Adam Larzelere | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Sam Monaghan | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 0.8% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 5.9% |
| Olin Guck | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 2.3% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 22.4% | 6.5% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 77.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.