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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.77+9.23vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.75+4.21vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.47+4.42vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.55+3.01vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.01+4.20vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.57+5.27vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.38+0.94vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.90+1.54vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.92-3.49vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.68+0.72vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.15+1.91vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.61-0.85vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.86+1.33vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.26-5.88vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.77-0.71vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97-6.66vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.06-8.14vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University0.62-3.05vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-6.98vs Predicted
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20Williams College-1.22-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.23Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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6.21Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.42Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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7.01Brown University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.2Roger Williams University2.010.0%1st Place
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11.27Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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7.94Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.54Tufts University1.900.0%1st Place
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5.51Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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10.72Northeastern University1.680.0%1st Place
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12.91University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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11.15Tufts University1.610.0%1st Place
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14.33Tufts University0.860.0%1st Place
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8.12Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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14.29Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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9.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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8.86Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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14.95Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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12.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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18.98Williams College-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Flores | 4.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Martins Atilla | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Danielson | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Shea Smith | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.5% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Olin Guck | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 2.7% |
| Adam Larzelere | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 17.4% | 5.4% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 19.3% | 4.8% |
| Andy Yu | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Lucy Meagher | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 21.5% | 6.6% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 1.1% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 9.0% | 76.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.