← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.75+5.20vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University1.68+8.70vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.38+4.77vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.47+3.32vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College1.57+6.10vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University2.01+3.33vs Predicted
-
7Brown University2.55+0.16vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University1.90+1.55vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.77+1.12vs Predicted
-
10Yale University2.92-4.43vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University2.06-1.90vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97-2.44vs Predicted
-
13Boston College2.26-4.49vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-1.93vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University0.86-1.05vs Predicted
-
16Salve Regina University0.62-1.18vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University1.61-6.17vs Predicted
-
18Williams College-1.22+0.95vs Predicted
-
19Maine Maritime Academy0.77-4.67vs Predicted
-
20University of Rhode Island1.15-6.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.2Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
-
10.7Northeastern University1.680.0%1st Place
-
7.77Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
-
7.32Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
-
11.1Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
-
9.33Roger Williams University2.010.0%1st Place
-
7.16Brown University2.550.1%1st Place
-
9.55Tufts University1.900.0%1st Place
-
10.12Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
-
5.57Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
-
9.1Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
-
9.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
-
8.51Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
-
12.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
-
13.95Tufts University0.860.0%1st Place
-
14.82Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
-
10.83Tufts University1.610.0%1st Place
-
18.95Williams College-1.220.0%1st Place
-
14.33Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
-
13.04University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 11.3% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Mathieu Dale | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Danielson | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Jack Roman | 4.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Martins Atilla | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shea Smith | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Jack Flores | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 12.9% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Andy Yu | 5.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 1.2% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 1.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 4.6% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 21.5% | 7.6% |
| Adam Larzelere | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 9.8% | 75.6% |
| Henri Richardsson | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 5.8% |
| Olin Guck | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.