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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.47+6.26vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+3.61vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.75+3.32vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.38+3.63vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.61+5.87vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.77+4.31vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.55+0.22vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy0.77+6.23vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.90+0.56vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.15+2.92vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+1.18vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.62+3.07vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.01-3.41vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.57-2.87vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97-5.64vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.26-7.86vs Predicted
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17Tufts University0.86-3.06vs Predicted
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18Williams College-1.22+0.96vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University1.68-8.42vs Predicted
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20Roger Williams University2.06-10.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.26Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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5.61Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.32Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.63Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.87Tufts University1.610.0%1st Place
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10.31Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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7.22Brown University2.550.1%1st Place
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14.23Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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9.56Tufts University1.900.0%1st Place
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12.92University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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12.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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15.07Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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9.59Roger Williams University2.010.0%1st Place
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11.13Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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9.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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8.14Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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13.94Tufts University0.860.0%1st Place
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18.96Williams College-1.220.0%1st Place
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10.58Northeastern University1.680.0%1st Place
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9.12Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.2% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larzelere | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Jack Flores | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Martins Atilla | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 5.7% |
| Shea Smith | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Olin Guck | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 1.2% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 2.3% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 24.6% | 8.0% |
| Jack Roman | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Andy Yu | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 4.0% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 8.2% | 76.4% |
| Sam Monaghan | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Meagher | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.