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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.77+9.25vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.57+9.26vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.47+4.52vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+1.61vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.77+9.46vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.55+1.06vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.38+0.97vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.61+2.89vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97+0.33vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.01-0.78vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.90-1.23vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.06-2.76vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.75-6.49vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.68-3.38vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.86-0.97vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.15-3.11vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.26-8.98vs Predicted
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18Williams College-0.60+0.23vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-6.91vs Predicted
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20Salve Regina University0.62-4.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.25Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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11.26Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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7.52Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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5.61Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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14.46Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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7.06Brown University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.97Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.89Tufts University1.610.0%1st Place
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9.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.0%1st Place
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9.22Roger Williams University2.010.0%1st Place
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9.77Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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9.24Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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6.51Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.62Northeastern University1.680.0%1st Place
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14.03Tufts University0.860.0%1st Place
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12.89University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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8.02Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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18.23Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
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12.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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15.05Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Flores | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Ethan Danielson | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.0% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 16.6% | 8.2% |
| Martins Atilla | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larzelere | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Andy Yu | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Roman | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Shea Smith | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 7.8% |
| Olin Guck | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 4.1% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 61.4% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 2.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 19.0% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.