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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.42+6.44vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+3.64vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.68+7.82vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.47+3.34vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.90+4.64vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.15+7.09vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.26+1.44vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.06+0.83vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.01+0.15vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.75-3.84vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.57+0.19vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97-2.45vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.77+1.71vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.61-3.07vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.77-4.74vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.86-1.98vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.38-9.51vs Predicted
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18Williams College-0.60+0.18vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-6.92vs Predicted
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20Salve Regina University0.62-4.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.44Brown University2.420.1%1st Place
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5.64Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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10.82Northeastern University1.680.0%1st Place
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7.34Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.64Tufts University1.900.0%1st Place
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13.09University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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8.44Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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8.83Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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9.15Roger Williams University2.010.0%1st Place
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6.16Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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11.19Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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9.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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14.71Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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10.93Tufts University1.610.0%1st Place
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10.26Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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14.02Tufts University0.860.0%1st Place
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7.49Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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18.18Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
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12.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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15.05Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Spriggs | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.8% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Shea Smith | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Olin Guck | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 4.2% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Jack Roman | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Danielson | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Andy Yu | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 16.8% | 9.9% |
| Adam Larzelere | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Jack Flores | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 7.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 14.9% | 58.7% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 18.6% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.