← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.92+4.58vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.47+5.31vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97+6.53vs Predicted
-
4Boston College2.26+4.20vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island1.15+7.86vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University2.38+1.76vs Predicted
-
7Yale University2.75-0.62vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University1.68+2.45vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.61+1.90vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University0.86+4.18vs Predicted
-
11Brown University2.42-3.51vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University2.01-2.58vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University1.90-2.93vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University1.77-3.78vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-2.90vs Predicted
-
16Maine Maritime Academy0.77-1.65vs Predicted
-
17Bowdoin College1.57-5.95vs Predicted
-
18Williams College-0.60+0.20vs Predicted
-
19Roger Williams University2.06-10.07vs Predicted
-
20Salve Regina University0.62-4.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.58Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
-
7.31Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
-
9.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
-
8.2Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
-
12.86University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
-
7.76Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
-
6.38Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
-
10.45Northeastern University1.680.0%1st Place
-
10.9Tufts University1.610.0%1st Place
-
14.18Tufts University0.860.0%1st Place
-
7.49Brown University2.420.1%1st Place
-
9.42Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
-
10.07Tufts University1.900.0%1st Place
-
10.22Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
-
12.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
-
14.35Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
-
11.05Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
-
18.2Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
-
8.93Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
-
15.02Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 13.4% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andy Yu | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Olin Guck | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 3.5% |
| Mathieu Dale | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 8.6% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Adam Larzelere | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 6.5% |
| Cam Spriggs | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Shea Smith | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Jack Flores | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 9.6% |
| Ethan Danielson | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 13.7% | 59.9% |
| Lucy Meagher | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 18.8% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.