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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.47+6.28vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+3.56vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.75+3.30vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.26+4.14vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.68+5.62vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.90+3.82vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.06+2.34vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.61+2.74vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.38-1.42vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.77+0.33vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.86+3.11vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.42-4.39vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.15+0.30vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.77+0.46vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.01-5.78vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.57-4.90vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-5.01vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97-8.54vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University0.62-4.19vs Predicted
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20Williams College-0.60-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.28Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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5.56Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.3Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.14Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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10.62Northeastern University1.680.0%1st Place
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9.82Tufts University1.900.0%1st Place
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9.34Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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10.74Tufts University1.610.0%1st Place
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7.58Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.33Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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14.11Tufts University0.860.0%1st Place
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7.61Brown University2.420.1%1st Place
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13.3University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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14.46Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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9.22Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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11.1Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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11.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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9.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.0%1st Place
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14.81Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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18.23Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.6% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Shea Smith | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larzelere | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 6.4% |
| Cam Spriggs | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Olin Guck | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 4.1% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 16.1% | 9.5% |
| Jack Roman | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Ethan Danielson | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 2.5% |
| Andy Yu | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 16.7% | 11.2% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 61.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.